Stellantis (STLA) investment Quality Rating (C)

(C) | Consumer Discretionary | Automobile Manufacturers
By: Old York Financial
A Private Principal Research Report

the verdict

Old York Financial has assigned Stellantis (STLA) an Operational Quality (C) Rating. Stellantis is a "Machine in Pieces." Fiscal year 2025 was a catastrophic transition where the company essentially admitted its previous EV strategy was a "Clogged Pipe." With Net Revenues down 2% to €153.5 Billion and an Adjusted Operating Margin of -0.5%, the company is currently burning through its reputational capital. It earns a (C) because it has suspended its 2026 dividend a major red flag for any Principal. For the Corporate Advisory, Stellantis is a "Hard Reset": the new leadership team under Antonio Filosa is trying to reassemble the engine while the car is still moving.

the old york analysis

owner earnings: the liquidity cushion Despite the massive accounting loss, we look for the "Residual Flow." Stellantis is not insolvent, but it is certainly leaking.

• 2025 Operating Cash Flow: (€4.65 Billion)

• (-) Capital Expenditures: (€9.60 Billion)

• (+) Depreciation & Amortization: €11.20 Billion (Estimated)

• OLD YORK OWNER EARNINGS: (€3.05 Billion)

Analyst Note: The "Owner Earnings" are negative, but the Industrial Available Liquidity of €46 Billion is the only thing preventing a lower rating. The company is currently sitting on a pile of cash equivalent to 30% of its revenue, giving it the "Oxygen" to survive this €22 Billion reset without a total collapse.

operational efficiency

• 5-Year ROIC (Avg): N/A

• 5-Year EPS CAGR: -9%

• 5-Year Price CAGR: -15.74%

• Share Change (5Y): -7.29%

• Analyst Note (The Structural Failure): An ROE of -35.1% is a "Engine Fire" scenario. This reflects the €25.4 Billion in charges taken to impair platforms and cancel product lines that were out of sync with market demand. The machine is currently non-functional from a value-creation standpoint.

growth & market dominance

• 2025 Consolidated Revenue: €153.5 Billion (-2% YoY).

• The "H2 Recovery" Story: Management points to a 10% revenue increase in the second half of 2025 as a sign that the "Reset" is working.

• Inventory Discipline: U.S. inventory ended at 69 days—a "Healthy" level compared to the bloated stocks of early 2025.

• The Jeep Pivot: Bringing back the "HEMI V8" to the Ram 1500 and launching the Jeep Cherokee Hybrid are desperate attempts to reclaim the North American consumer who rejected the pure-EV push.

the fortress check

• Total Assets: ~€180 Billion.

• Industrial Liquidity: €46.0 Billion.

• Hybrid Bonds: The Board authorized €5 Billion in hybrid bond issuance to bolster the balance sheet.

• Dividend Status: SUSPENDED. In recognition of the massive net loss, the Principal will receive zero yield in 2026. This is a severe breach of trust for a "Value" play.

• Solvency: While liquid, the company's "Altman Z-Score" equivalent would be deep in the "Distress" zone due to the current year's operating losses.

final determination

Rating: Old York Operational Quality (C)

Classification: The Junk-Grade Turnaround.

Stellantis is a (C) because it has failed the two most important tests for a Principal: it destroyed equity (-35% ROE) and it stopped paying the dividend. The "H2 Momentum" is a fine narrative, but until the machine produces a positive ROIC and restores the payout, it remains a speculative recovery play.

Disclaimer: Old York Financial operates privately as a principal and sells corporate advisory. Old York Financial is not an accountant, a financial advisor, a broker, an agent, a lawyer, or a portfolio manager. This report is for informational purposes only.